Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 979.500186 1120.121292 1280.220424 1477.350040 1715.414617 1996.026616 2355.395086
2025-01-19 756.138983 927.735584 1142.219641 1434.943194 1831.976984 2363.858695 3152.030700
2025-01-26 677.150142 870.264163 1127.267763 1504.156217 2060.453729 2882.213619 4252.541908
2025-02-02 613.385871 817.341060 1102.572174 1546.038285 2248.805404 3379.393712 5480.134669
2025-02-09 566.500323 778.282608 1087.286545 1592.943739 2447.194493 3935.160131 7007.464580
2025-02-16 516.934809 727.612377 1045.627801 1588.272201 2555.463232 4359.825906 8456.772014
2025-02-23 488.110964 703.695174 1040.329287 1639.674044 2769.025992 5036.247829 10759.390063
2025-03-02 457.659562 673.287675 1019.854042 1660.033984 2927.249700 5647.115580 13241.143688
2025-03-09 423.927232 633.888924 979.324750 1637.002355 2993.595137 6077.064156 15496.614124
2025-03-16 390.871617 592.372557 930.391164 1590.527138 3000.971045 6371.413134 17540.926977
2025-03-23 371.600053 571.979672 915.788865 1607.612472 3149.204148 7065.275532 21455.270554
2025-03-30 344.911426 536.650314 870.852931 1557.673222 3134.831932 7324.347010 23974.720335
2025-04-06 319.964770 504.164612 831.236045 1520.472809 3161.617987 7767.507483 27999.542437
2025-04-13 296.453155 472.607057 790.829933 1477.402038 3169.655009 8180.181034 32543.104197
2025-04-20 289.133578 469.098085 802.784526 1549.141821 3490.453919 9753.260018 45926.246073
2025-04-27 279.176505 459.781216 802.238907 1592.673635 3749.513697 11279.197121 62824.007409
2025-05-04 270.516590 452.035080 803.825438 1641.415861 4039.935054 13130.360307 88400.540133
2025-05-11 257.559993 435.028263 784.597485 1636.560817 4167.967804 14403.534223 113952.011538
2025-05-18 250.782975 429.348628 788.386896 1689.995601 4500.918634 16899.295808 169267.586401
2025-05-25 241.805253 418.605132 780.185382 1711.166078 4734.951125 19132.342034 240808.241141
2025-06-01 230.061581 401.487868 756.430759 1687.217781 4803.781930 20535.567678 312478.643938
2025-06-08 217.455555 381.811583 725.329489 1638.904478 4770.882698 21329.065179 381250.059451
2025-06-15 210.481162 373.138014 718.198212 1656.663711 4998.879961 24073.903409 575266.467490